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Re: Fwd: [projectvrm] Apple co-founder Steve Wozniak condemns the cloud


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  • From: Brian Behlendorf < >
  • To: ProjectVRM list < >
  • Subject: Re: Fwd: [projectvrm] Apple co-founder Steve Wozniak condemns the cloud
  • Date: Tue, 7 Aug 2012 19:16:52 +0200 (CEST)


I think Woz's alarm was a bit awkward and overstretched only in the same way that those warning about mortgage-backed securities before 2007 sounded awkward and overstretched. These and other boutique investment "innovations" appeared to perform admirably at first and be adequately hedged - but both individually and collectively we seem to be bad at estimating risk, at forgetting that "past performance is not indicative of future returns", that things which work at one scale/order of magnitude are not guaranteed to work at the next, and that unsustainable business practices tend to stop at some point. I don't yet know if there's a systemic collapse problem the way there was one in the financial world in 2007 - though if gmail or even paypal were down for more than two days at some point or hopelessly widely compromised, one could imagine that impacting GDP by quite a few basis points.

Brian






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