Predictability and Prediction for a Media-Experimental Cultural Market: Difference between revisions

From Technologies and Politics of Control
Jump to navigation Jump to search
Line 16: Line 16:


Ormerod, Colbaugh, "Cascades of Failure and Extinction in evolving Complex Systems"
Ormerod, Colbaugh, "Cascades of Failure and Extinction in evolving Complex Systems"
= Theodor Kolovos =
{|border="1" cellpadding="5"
|-valign="top"
|
'''Participating @:'''
* [http://cyber.law.harvard.edu/events/luncheon/2011/02/kleine ICTs for “development”]
* [http://cyber.law.harvard.edu/events/cyberscholars/2011/03/mit Cyberscholar Working Group]
* [http://cyber.law.harvard.edu/events/luncheon/2011/03/costanzachock Transmedia Mobilization]
* [http://cyber.law.harvard.edu/node/6640 CRCS]
* [http://cyber.law.harvard.edu/designsforprivacy/Main_Page Designs for Privacy]
|
'''Useful Links:'''
* [http://cyber.law.harvard.edu/events/luncheon/2011/03/costanzachock Media Convergence]
* [http://cyber.law.harvard.edu/events/luncheon/2011/03/costanzachock Data Journalism]
* [http://cyber.law.harvard.edu/events/luncheon/2011/03/costanzachock Media Migration]
* [http://cyber.law.harvard.edu/events/luncheon/2011/03/costanzachock Philosophy and Ethics of Information]
|
'''My Info'''
* [mailto:email@synallagi.info Email]
* [http://www.nextissue.com/category/press Next Issue Media]
* [http://www.kantarmedia.com Kantar]
* [http://www.tkolovosconsulting.com Idependent Consulting]
* [http://comunisms.blogactiv.eu Euractiv ]
* [https://twitter.com/theodorkolovos Twitter]
|-
|}

Revision as of 05:43, 1 June 2014

Internet users are often influenced by the behavior of others, often because they want to acquire the benefits of coordinated actions or infer otherwise inacessible information. In these cases this influence decreases the ex ante predictability of the ENSUING social dynamics. These same social forces can increase the extent to which the outcome of a social process can be predicated very early in the process. A media market model that asseses the predictability of outcomes through formal analysis and the usage of insights deriving from this analysis can result into the development of algorithms for predicting market behavior at its early stage. The utility of the predictive algorithms can be illustrated through analysis of data sets of the market.

References

Salganik, "Experimental study of inequality of unpredictability in an artifical culture market"

Bikhchandani,Hirschleifer,"Learning from the behavior of others"

Hedstrom, Sandell, Stern, "Mesolevel networks and the diffusion of social movements"

Shiller,"Irrational Exuberance"

Rogers, "Diffusion of Innovations"

Colbaugh, Glass, "Predictability analysis for Social Process"

Ormerod, Colbaugh, "Cascades of Failure and Extinction in evolving Complex Systems"

Theodor Kolovos

Participating @:

Useful Links:

My Info

Retrieved from "http://cyber.harvard.edu/is2011/?title=Predictability_and_Prediction_for_a_Media-Experimental_Cultural_Market&oldid=10467"